Wednesday, May 04, 2005

Vote Kennedy; wake up with Brown!

A last minute plea to all you would-be voters out there. Let's begin with the obvious: all the election propaganda is nonsense. Labour are campaigning on the basis that a vote for the Lib Dems will let Howard in. Every analyst worth 1/10th of his/her salary knows this is ludicrous. Labour are going to win it either way. However, they fear that if the Lib Dems do well enough, their majority could be cut from the current 160 to as few as 50 seats. (see the James Blitz FT story cited in last post: '"Anything over 75 is good for Blair," said a Labour strategist. "If it's between 50 and 60, he can survive, but it will be difficult."')
What will this mean? Well basically it will mean the government is in a somewhat precarious position for the next parliamentary term. It will mean that the changeover of power from Blair to Brown will have to be done sooner rather than later so that Brown and the party can consolidate public support in preparation for the election.
So those who'd rather see Blair leaving his residence sooner rather than later want to cut Labour's majority as far as possible.
Of course, a hung parliament (Labour-Lib Dem coalition anyone?) could be hugely entertaining, even if not very likely.
But the less seats Labour win, the quicker Gordon will be moving next door, which is about the best case scenario for the next 2 or 3 years.
So slash Labour's majority, and Blair will be consigned to sitting smirking in the House of Lords and editing his political diaries before you know it! Vote Lib Dem!

Note: These realisations about Brown only occurred to me when I read this column by Greg Palast, so I'm much indebted to him, and also to James Blitz for the story I mentioned above.

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